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NFL Week 16 Preview

December 19th 2014 00:42
NFL Week 16 Preview

#NFLWeek16

90-49 Since picking games


Tennessee @ Jacksonville - There are 12 teams in the AFC that are .500 or better and only 7 in the NFC but unfortunately this game is between two teams with a combined 4-24 record. Tennessee’s pass offense and defense are both average, but otherwise both teams’ stats linger at the bottom of the league ranks. But that should mean a close exciting game, right? I say the home team finds a way to win.

#TENvsJAX

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NFL Week 15 Recap

December 16th 2014 10:31
NFL Week 15 Recap

#NFLWeek15

Arizona 12, St. Louis 6 –
A game full of field goals exposed why the Cardinals are so good. Good teams find many different ways to win. QB Drew Stanton went down with a knee injury but the defense stepped up and forced 5 straight 3-and-outs to open the second half. They pressured Rams’ QB Shaun Hill and took advantage of St. Louis offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer’s way too conservative play calling. Arizona has a showdown with the defending champion Seahawks next weekend, but even with their 4th string QB playing, I wouldn’t count them out.

Pittsburgh 27, Atlanta 20 – It was tight all the way through and the teams matched each other stat for stat for the most part. In the end the Steelers kept their lead from the start of the 4th quarter and Atlanta couldn’t score after a TD with 10 minutes left got them within 7. Pittsburgh is lucky Julio Jones was a game-time scratch due to a hip injury because they were damaged enough by WR3 Harry Douglas (131 yards).

Buffalo 21, Green Bay 13 – A 10-10 tie at halftime showed what a great matchup this was as strength matches strength when Rodgers and company take the field against the feisty Bills defense. Two crucial drops (for TDs) by Jordy Nelson and 2 near picks and 1 pick by Aaron Rodgers going into the 4th quarter (along with an unbelievable 33% completion rate) had Packers fans and players and coaches thinking they were cursed or something. The Bills offense wasn’t very good, but they did just enough to win and in the absence of the passing game’s usual excellence (Rodgers finished with a 34.3 QB rating), it came down to a game-clinching forced fumble by Mario Williams that led to a safety.

Cincinnati 30, Cleveland 0 – An embarrassing shutout (107 total yards too) is what the Browns brass gets for sitting veteran QB Brian Hoyer for the flashy young college player Johnny Manziel. The problem is, not everyone translates from the NCAA to the NFL. The Bengals didn’t play very well except the rookie Jeremy Hill who went for 148 yards and 2 TDs. That’s the tricky thing, you never know which rookie will excel and which won’t. While it’s a lot easier to come into the league as any other position other than QB, Manziel’s 27.3 QB rating tells you they should have stuck with Hoyer.

Indianapolis 17, Houston 10 - QB Ryan Fitzpatrick was unfortunately carted off the field in the first half with a lower leg injury and the Texans only managed 5 first downs compared to 15 for the Colts. Rookie Tom Savage replaced Fitzpatrick and the Indy D loaded up to stop Arian Foster. Foster still got his yards, but with the drop-off in passing production, they couldn’t keep up with Indy. The Colts clinch the AFC South and start to tune up for their playoff run.

Kansas City 31, Oakland 13 – Thanks to an 81 yard punt return by rookie De’Anthony Thomas, the Chiefs had a nice 10-3 lead going into the half. Alex Smith had 165 yards through the air before the half but they weren’t able to turn that success into points (missed field goal). The second half was a different story as Smith threw for 2 TDs and led the rout of the Raiders. They’re lucky the passing attack was so on for this game because the rushing attack wasn’t.

New England 41, Miami 13 – The Patriots used their world-class halftime adjustments to take a 14-13 lead over the Dolphins at the half and open it up to a 41-13 pasting to clinch their division. RB Jonas Gray finally got back into the coach’s good graces and had a healthy 5.6 yards on 11 carries to add to the winning effort. Miami QB Ryan Tannehill threw for a ton (346 yards) but 2 INTs against the Patriots will usually negate many of those big yards.

NY Giants 24, Washington 13 – A third TD from Eli Manning to rookie WR Odell Beckham Jr. shows what could be a powerful offense when Victor Cruz is back next year and the offensive line is greatly improved. Even the 7 sacks and sound tackling on the defensive side doesn’t hide the shortcomings on defense that have made this a lost season for Giants, but they had more fight than the DC squad.

Carolina 19, Tampa Bay 17 – Backup Derek Anderson did a great job subbing for the injured Cam Newton and was the key to their big win against Tampa Bay. At 5-8-1, they are still alive in the playoff hunt and if they are fortunate enough to get Cam back, this could go down as a pivotal game. Josh McCown was only able to get the ball to rookie Mike Evans 2 out of 8 tries and the offense wasn’t able to keep up.

Baltimore 20, Jacksonville 12 – 4 Josh Scobee field goals gave the Jaguars a 12-10 halftime lead as the defense did a pretty good job not letting the Ravens score (they got a 1st quarter TD off a blocked punt return). I wouldn’t say the Baltimore offense was humming exactly against an inferior opponent, but 10 unanswered points in the second half. They join their AFC North rivals the Steelers (both 9-5) as the other wild card leader but still have to keep winning because three teams are 8-6.

NY Jets 16, Tennessee 11 – Finally after 10 games, big free agent acquisition WR Eric Decker gets his first 100 yard receiving game. The QB skills have been a severe downgrade from his days in Denver with Peyton Manning. And although they’ve lost a lot, they still haven’t had a lot of garbage time passing stats. Jake Locker went down yet again for the Titans and they have to start to see that he’s too fragile to count on as a QB1.

Denver 22, San Diego 10 – Denver became the third AFC team to clinch their division. You can tell that Denver has been holding back in these late-season games to preserve themselves for the playoffs. Maybe they feel they were too exhausted in the Super Bowl last year and that’s why they couldn’t compete with the Seahawks. Either way it’s clear they have some kind of plan because while they are playing focused, smart ball, you know they have a lot left in the tank for a championship run.

Detroit 16, Minnesota 14 – Luckily for the Lions and their playoff hopes, Vikings kicker Blair Walsh’s 68 yard field goal attempt came up short (one of 3 missed attempts in the game) and they escaped with a win hosting Minnesota. The Detroit defense defended the run very well, but gave up 315 yards and a TD to rookie QB Teddy Bridgewater. They sacked him 4 times but he completed a high 75% against them. They will have to fix those coverage lapses to keep moving forward against the much better passers coming their way.

Seattle 17, San Francisco 7 – Well that’s if for the 49ers. Their dysfunction in the locker room and during the off season leaked into their on-field chemistry and doomed them to the couch in January. Now something sad is brewing. There could be a really good double-digit win team in the NFC also sitting at home and a team with a losing record from the NFC South will be going to the playoffs by rights of being a division winner. Seattle is doing their part to make sure it won’t be them.

Dallas 38, Philadelphia 27 – After years of underachieving, especially in December, the Cowboys beat the Eagles to leapfrog over them for the division lead and now have a chance at home-field advantage. Philly took the lead briefly in the 3rd quarter, but Tony Romo’s connections to Dez Bryant (114 yards, 3 TDs) and DeMarco Murray’s clock eating running got them the lead back for good. Unsung hero Des Jeremy Mincey and Tyrone Crawford had two sacks apiece in a pass rush revival for Dallas that they will definitely need in the playoffs.

New Orleans 31, Chicago 15 – As the Saints have been saving their season, the Bears have let theirs slip away over the last few weeks. Chicago didn’t crack 300 yards (they should every game with their talent level on offense) yet again and only converted 2-12 third down opportunities. 3 Jay Cutler interceptions will have the local fans begging to move on, but that huge contract makes that a dangerous proposition for their own future. New Orleans’s savior Drew Brees had an awesome game (3 TDs, 375 yards and 80.6% completion rate) and is finally hitting his stride with his new receiver structure.

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NFL Week 15 Preview

December 12th 2014 00:20
NFL Week 15 Preview

#NFLWeek15

80-43 Since picking games

Arizona @ St. Louis –
The Cardinals excel at keeping their QBs protected and they'll have their hands full against an above average pressure team like the Rams. They'll have to find big plays down the field as they have all year to negate the Rams' pressure and keep them in their less efficient passing mode to keep up instead of their better running game. I think Arizona spent their luck last week over the Chiefs and won't be so lucky this weekend.

Pittsburgh @ Atlanta -
Matt Ryan and the Falcons stayed right with the Packers on Monday night and just simply ran out of time. This should really worry the Steelers as their pass defense has been real spotty lately. They've got to take Julio Jones out of the game or he will destroy them. The best way to do this would be to use their strong running attack against the Falcons' weak defense. That'll eat up the clock and keep Jones on the sideline. Steelers will do that and will eek out a win in a high-scoring affair.

Green Bay @ Buffalo - Most NFL fans don't realize the Bills have the 5th best defense in the league, filled with young talent against the run and the pass. That'll be a great matchup as strength matches strength when Rodgers and company take the field. But the way Green Bay is playing lately, and how poorly the Bills' offense has been, portends an eventual but slim loss for the Bills.

Cincinnati @ Cleveland - It's put-up or shut up time for Johnny Manziel as he gets the starts for a cross-state matchup the likes of which haven’t been seen since the 80s in Ohio. Both teams have playoff and division title hopes to keep alive in the toughest division in football. I think he'll benefit from Josh Gordon's need to prove himself and a young and talented defense locking things down as the Browns take a vital victory from the current division leaders.

Houston @ Indianapolis -Your text goes here If the Colts can't prevent the likes of J.J. Watt and his friends from getting turnovers (Indy is 28th in the league in giveaways) they are going to lose this game. They are also last in the league in drops which says that they can be their own worst enemy at times. Houston is not the team you want to do that against as they can take the ball away and then grind out the clock with Arian Foster. I think they will do just that and Ryan Fitzpatrick will give just enough in the passing game to out score them in a close game.

Oakland @ Kansas City - The Kansas City running game will have a field day against the Raiders' poor run defense and will open up the passing game via play-action later in the game. The Raiders simply cannot keep up offensively and will leave town with another loss. They won't be playing spoiler to the Chiefs' playoff hopes.

Miami @ New England - If the game was in Miami I might give the Dolphins a better chance but they'll fail to keep up with the Patriots offensively. The Dolphins' pass rush has underachieved as of late and Bill Belichick and staff find new ways to win from game to game and even half by half this year. They have the momentum and the Dolphins don't, that is very significant late in the season when everyone's running on fumes.

Washington @ NY Giants - This pride game will go to the Giants as DC's losing streak of 5 continues. Washington has a better defense, but only some of those guys are still fighting in a dismal season that will lead to many changes when it's done. A win may not even save Tom Coughlin's job in New York as they'll miss the playoffs again and enter into a rebuilding mode defensively.

Tampa Bay @ Carolina - The Panthers won't have Cam Newton at least this weekend (and very likely more) due to some lower back fractures sustained from a car accident. Without him the Bucs will show what their defense can do and will dominate the game. Tampa Bay's front office will need to see if they should be drafting for an immediate or eventual replacement for Josh McCown in the off season as they need offensive lineman desperately with their high draft picks next year.

Jacksonville @ Baltimore - It's probably going to come down to 5 levels of tie-breakers to determine the AFC North division winner as well as the wild-card spots. Baltimore will win and will get their offense humming as they await hopefully for a playoff spot. They'll stay in the mix as long as they keep winning and this matchup is the first is a must win since they have tougher matchups in Houston and hosting Cleveland to close out the season.

NY Jets @ Tennessee - The Jets will get an easy win as they make a case to save Rex Ryan's job (it'll fall short). There isn't much going right for Tennessee as they continue their 7 game losing streak. The Jets will have to use this time to really decide if they can go forward with Geno Smith as their starter. With his inconsistencies, it'll be hard to continue with him after going through much of the same with Mark Sanchez in recent years, without any playoff success.

Denver @ San Diego - Notice the bulk of the success for Peyton Manning in the passing game last week in the cold was short routes to the little guys Wes Welker and Emmanuel Sanders as opposed to downfield strikes to Demaryius Thomas. Luckily all the receivers have above average run-after-catch skills and the running game couldn't be going better right now. Manning won't have any trouble in the warm San Diego sun and he'll put on an aerial show that Philip Rivers just won't be able to keep up with.

Minnesota @ Detroit - The Vikings' two game win streak will end in Detroit as the Lions finally pull away and realize their full potential. They have the second best defense in the league and the 7th best passing attack. They haven't been able to score as much as they should be with their talent level but that'll change now that their offensive weapons are in full health, and they need each and every one in their offense.

San Francisco @ Seattle - If there's any hope of keeping the band together in San Francisco they have got to do the difficult (not impossible) and win in Seattle. Vernon Davis and Anquan Boldin have been underutilized this season and should be targeted a ton in this game. Their ability to make tough catches in the kind of tight windows they'll be provided with is the only way the offense can keep up with the Seahawks who have won 4 of their last 5. I think they can do it; whether it prevents big changes in the offseason, that's less of a sure thing.

Dallas @ Philadelphia - If the Eagles can get past the Cowboys they have the Giants and DC for their last two games. But Tony Romo has a great opportunity to slice apart the 30th ranked passing defense to lighten the load on a running attack that has got to be taking a physical toll on everyone, especially DeMarco Murray. Mark Sanchez won't be able to keep up with a finely tuned Romo to Bryant and Witten attack and Dallas will come away with an important win.

New Orleans @ Chicago - Both of these teams came into the season with playoff expectations but their defenses keep holding them back. The Saints have the third best offense (balanced too) in the league but the next to last ranked defense has them wasting away at 5-8 (although luck perches the division crown still within reach somehow). The Bears have the 28th ranked D and have very slim playoff hopes. They will have no hope stopping Drew Brees as he takes an easy win before meeting Atlanta next week.

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NFL Week 14 Recap

December 10th 2014 01:15
NFL Week 14 Recap

#NFLWeek14

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NFL Week 14 Preview

December 5th 2014 00:24
NFL Week 14 Preview

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NFL Week 13 Recap

December 3rd 2014 12:46
NFL Week 13 Recap

#NFLWeek13


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NFL Week 13 Preview

November 27th 2014 15:04
NFL Week 13 Preview

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NFL Week 12 Recap

November 27th 2014 00:39
NFL Week 12 Recap

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NFL Week 12 Picks

November 21st 2014 00:50
NFL Week 12 Picks

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NFL Week 11 Recap

November 20th 2014 03:55
NFL Week 11 Recap

Miami 22, Buffalo 9 – The Bills could have leaned on the running attack for a better balanced offensive plan, because Kyle Orton and the passing game didn’t have as much impact as they could have either. The Dolphins batted away 4 passes and sacked Orton twice. Although Miami QB Ryan Tannehill was sacked 5 times (3.5 by Mario Williams), he turned in another great performance to lead his team to a 6-4 record


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