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NFL Week 12 Picks

November 21st 2014 00:50
NFL Week 12 Picks

#NFLWeek12

54-24 since ChatNFL.com started picking games

Kansas City @ Oakland - Easy pick is the Chiefs. It's not easy for all teams, but this is a team with veteran leadership, expertly focused coaching and hungry young talent all around. They aren't the most abundantly talented team in the league (majorly lacking in WR talent) but their coaches have fine-tuned their tactics to best suite what their players do best. That is no easy task.

Cleveland @ Atlanta - Atlanta has now won two straight and is surprisingly tied for first place in the NFC South with the Saint at a 4-6 record. The Browns are the Cinderella story of the 2014 season and would be playoff newbies (unlike the Atlanta from a couple of years ago). But the biggest difference is that the Browns have been slowly building talent while Atlanta's has been eroded away. Browns win.

NY Jets @ Buffalo - This game will likely be moved to Monday night to play on a neutral field due to the massive lake-effect snow hitting Buffalo. The Jets know they are playing out a lame-duck season with 8 losses, so the wacky travel will throw their focus, but not the Bills'. They are hungry for wins and will bounce back from 2 straight losses and beat the Jets, wherever and whenever they end up playing.

Tampa Bay @ Chicago - The Bears have so much pressure on them in a brutally demanding sports town. They'll welcome a southern-based opponent to keep the momentum going from last week's win and use the weather to their advantage, pounding with RB Matt Forte and using QB Jay Cutler's best talent - throwing play action deep passes. Tampa Bay coach Lovie Smith won't get a warm welcome in Chicago on Sunday.

Jacksonville @ Indianapolis - New England blasted the Colts last weekend with precision execution at every position of their offensive line. That is one area where the Jaguars are most behind in talent level. It'll be a drubbing by the Colts as they erase the bad taste left by the Pats last weekend on their home field.

Green Bay @ Minnesota - Green Bay is rolling now. All that was missing was the defense playing as sharp as the offense and that was shown perfectly the last two weeks. They will continue the roll over the Vikings outdoors in a cold one.

Detroit @ New England - The Pats' six-game winning streak comes to a close as the Lions' defense gains huge confidence in bouncing back from a tough lose in Arizona. The D line will confound those New England offensive lineman who played so well last week in Indy and will be a penetrating force all game in Foxboro. Detroit gets a rare upset.

Tennessee @ Philadelphia - Another week, another lesson to Philly how silly the rumors were that Nick Foles was on his way out before his injury. He was having a little 2nd year as a starter slump (can't call it sophomore) but he drove the rival of the Eagles offense. Tennessee gave the Steelers all they could handle Monday night and will continue that prideful play this weekend too. I am calling an upset that'll make a lot of Dallas fans very happy.

Cincinnati @ Houston - As Cincy keeps one step ahead of the rest of the tough AFC North, they seal Houston's fate. They'll take a close and high-scoring win in Houston. The Texans should be proud of what they've accomplished this season and still could finish .500 or above. But the AFC is just too tough this year (much to my surprise) and they will have to continue their journey back to the playoffs next season.

St. Louis @ San Diego - Another team with a lot of heart is the Jeff Fisher led St. Louis Rams. They didn't back down from the challenge of the mighty Peyton Manning and the reigning AFC Champion Broncos. They defended their home field with fire and focus. Now they'll bring that same gusto on the road and will invade San Diego, coming out with a victory in a close one. This time of year is a lot about momentum because everyone's banged up and running on fumes most of the time.

Arizona @ Seattle - Here is a big one. The first one against the defending champs to see if they really belong. No team has had more success with more key people injured. I always root for the underdog in these situations, but I don't think the Cardinals are going to be able to get past the Seahawks at home. They have a much better shot in 4 week when the Seahawks come to the desert.

Miami @ Denver - Denver will come back in a big way and crush the Dolphins in the Rockies. Everyone knows the window is closing on how long Peyton Manning has left. That's why the free agents beg to follow him for a chance to bask in the glory of a Hall of Fame QB's winning run. Miami will give them a lot to handle, but Denver will stay one step ahead in a high-scoring close game.

Washington @ San Francisco - It's dysfunctional team versus dysfunctional team. Lack of good veteran or coaching leadership this season plagues both of these organizations. The Niners just happen to be chocked full of talent that sometimes they just can’t help but win, despite themselves. They will again due to the talent gap between these two, but they will both have tons of problems to sort out in the offseason, whether the Niners make the playoffs or not.

Dallas @ NY Giants – Dallas had their bye week at the perfect time and have the perfectly inept opponent to get back in the swing of things in the Giants. Tony Romo can ease his back into the passing game while the offensive line and RB DeMarco Murray blaze the trail over the defensive front. It won’t be close.

Baltimore @ New Orleans – This would normally be the defining moment for the Saints, a game to save the season. But with the NFC South in the shape it is, they may be able to win it with a 7-9 record or even 6-10 (The Seahawks made it as 7-9 division winner in 2010-11). The Ravens are a healthy 6-4 but in the super tough AFC North, that may not cut it. This will be a hard fought game….tough to call. The Ravens are rested after their bye…but I give the nod to the home team.

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NFL Week 11 Recap

November 20th 2014 03:55
NFL Week 11 Recap

Miami 22, Buffalo 9 – The Bills could have leaned on the running attack for a better balanced offensive plan, because Kyle Orton and the passing game didn’t have as much impact as they could have either. The Dolphins batted away 4 passes and sacked Orton twice. Although Miami QB Ryan Tannehill was sacked 5 times (3.5 by Mario Williams), he turned in another great performance to lead his team to a 6-4 record.

Chicago 21, Minnesota 13 – QB Jay Cutler, RB Matt Forte, and WRs Alshon Jeffery & Brandon Marshall were in sync and keyed the offensive output of 468 total yards. The defense did their part and held the Vikings to nearly half that. They looked like the Bears of the 2013 season and gave some hope to a city that desperately wants a winner.

Houston 23, Cleveland 7 – Well either QB Ryan Mallet is better than I thought or the Browns defense had a really off day. Since the Texans also rushed for a huge 213 with Arian Foster out, I’m going to go with the Browns defense just had a really bad day. The offense wasn’t there to bail them out either as the combination of 2 turnovers, 3 of 15 successful third down conversions and QB Brian Hoyer’s poor 40% completion rate sunk those efforts. Even J.J. Watt (a former TE for Central Michigan before he transferred to Wisconsin) got a score as Houston rolled to a 5-5 record.

Kansas City 24, Seattle 20 –The Chiefs had two turnovers, more than 10 less minutes in time of possession, was only 2 of 6 in third down conversions and their passing game only gained 108 yards. That is usually the recipe for a loss. But they scored at the right times and the defense kept the Seahawks’ attack under control. RB Jamaal Charles did indeed have his big game and went for 159 yards rushing and 2 TDs. Great, strong win for a team on a roll as they extend their winning streak to 5.

St. Louis 22, Denver 7 – I’m sure the headline caught everyone else off guard too, but that’s how close the talent levels are in the NFL. 5 Greg Zuerlein field goals and a solid game of keep-away (rookie RB Tre Mason gained 113 yards on the ground to use up the clock) gave the Rams the victory. Again, the lack of a running game of their own doomed the Broncos to another tough and surprising loss…

Cincinnati 27, New Orleans 10 – Extreme efficiency in the passing game (Andy Dalton posted a 143.9 passer rating) and great success on the ground (36 rushes at a 5.2 clip, led by rookie Jeremy Hill) gave the Bengals an important win in New Orleans. But surprisingly the Saints still stay in the hunt for the division lead, they share it with the Falcons both at 4-6. Cincy is staying ahead of the tough pack in the AFC North thanks to their tie with Carolina earlier this season.

San Francisco 16, NY Giants 10 – With 5 INTs thrown by Eli Manning, you would have thought the score would be much more in the Niners favor. But they were able to get the win and stay in the wild card hunt.

Tampa Bay 22, Washington 7 – The running game was great for the Redskins, but they couldn’t stop Tampa Bay on defense and there were too many mistakes (3 turnovers) for the Redskins offense. QB Josh McCown had his best game as a Buccaneer posting 2 TDs and a 137.5 QB rating. Rookie WR Mike Evans erupted for 209 yards and 2 TDs.
Atlanta 19, Carolina 17 – Now that the Saints aren’t pulling ahead, there just might be a 7-9 or 6-10 division winner in the NFC South. Stranger things have happened…

San Diego 13, Oakland 6 – Rivers didn’t play as well as I thought he would, but the win is all that matters, they are still in the playoff hunt in the surprisingly tough AFC. The Raiders remain winless and there really aren’t many good things to say about the team…

Green Bay 53, Philadelphia 20 – Two defensive touchdowns and a punt return for a score added to the efficient offense (4 TDs) in an easy win for the Packers. Green Bay now is tied for first place in the NFC North and Philadelphia is tied with Dallas for first in the NFC East. The defense made Sanchez look like a QB3 and the offense could have done a lot more damage if they’d needed to.

Arizona 14, Detroit 6 – The impressive Detroit defense shut down the Arizona running game but didn’t do enough to stop the passing attack. They did get two interceptions off Drew Stanton, but he also had two touchdowns and kept the offense ahead of the Lions’ offense. 4 sacks by the Arizona defense helped a ton too in a surprisingly low-scoring game.

New England 42, Indianapolis 20 – Well it was domination by New England, not Indy like I thought. Undrafted third year man from Notre Dame Jonas Gray ran for 201 yards and 4 TDs against a good Colts defense. The Indy RBs didn’t gain even a yard on their 14 carries and the offense couldn’t keep up with Gray and Tom Brady (2 TDs, 257 yards).

Pittsburgh 27, Tennessee 24 – The Titans gave the Steelers a much better fight than most expected. They took a 24-13 lead into the fourth quarter, but it quickly gave up two touchdowns to Pittsburgh and they couldn’t score themselves again. Le’Veon Bell ran for 204 yards and a touchdown as the Steelers stayed in the intense race in the AFC North.

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NFL Week 11 Picks

November 14th 2014 01:58
NFL Week 11 Picks

Buffalo @ Miami – The AFC has really surprised me this year and is definitely the superior conference. Neither the Bills nor the Dolphins seems to have enough to keep up with the Patriots for the division lead, but both are young hungry teams that will fight tooth and nail for that wild-card spots with the 5 other teams in contention for the 2 spots. The Dolphins’ running game is a little better than Buffalo’s but both defenses are in the top 10 in the league and excel at getting INTs and sacks. The similarities continue as both are coming off losses. Given that left tackle Branden Albert now out for Miami and veteran Kyle Orton has a ton of experience, I am betting Buffalo will come in pressure free and take the game in a close one.

Minnesota @ Chicago – The Vikings surprisingly have the 4th best pass defenses in the league. The Bears defense is dead last in points and playing poorly in most other aspects this year. This game will show everyone what the Bears are made of. They lack a lot of veteran leadership on the field and will be needing lots of guys stepping up after an embarrassing 41 point loss to the rival Packers. I’m guessing that WR Brandon Marshall will be the unlikely fiery leader they need this week and will lead (even after a minor ankle injury from Sunday night) the Bears passing attack to some a much needed big output despite the tough matchup. The Vikings will underestimate them and will drop one at home.

Houston @ Cleveland – The Browns are on a 3 game winning streak and will be in the friendly confines of their home field. They are at the top of the division and have all the confidence in the world in their abilities. So many years of subpar football in Cleveland puts a chip on anyone’s shoulder who dons an orange helmet these days and although it’s a young team, you can bet they know how rare success can be in the NFL. The Texans have benched QB Ryan Fitzpatrick in favor of Ryan Mallet in an attempt to improve on their 4 wins since going 1-4 in their last 5. The Browns defense will be ready for the adjustments and will make short work of Mallet due to his inexperience and their superb and focused play. Browns win handily.

Seattle @ Kansas City – This should be a fast-paced game with the #1 (Seahawks) and #5 (Chiefs) ranked running attacks going up against each other. It’s time for RB Jamaal Charles to have a huge game for the home team Chiefs. He hasn’t had a 100 yard game yet this year. Doing so against the 4th ranked run defense is asking a lot, but he’s due and the Seahawks are due for a lapse. I say the Chiefs win in a surprise home defense.

Denver @ St. Louis – The Rams’ pass rush has been picking up lately, but it won’t be enough to disrupt Peyton Manning and the powerful Broncos offense. St. Louis is benching the increasingly turnover-prone and inexperienced QB Austin Davis in favor of the now healthy Shaun Hill. He’ll have all he can handle trying to keep up with Manning while fighting against a great pass rush and a consistently overall defense. Denver wins.

Cincinnati @ New Orleans – The Saints are 4-5, but find themselves at the top of the NFC South. The Bengals are in a 4 way close battle for the AFC North and wild card spots. Cincy QB Andy Dalton has got to be flat out angry at his disgraceful 2.0 QB rating against the Browns. He will completely bounce back and have a huge game with the benefit of WR A.J. Green’s continued improvement to health. But it won’t be enough to get past a Drew Brees led offense that will finally start finding their consistency.

San Francisco @ NY Giants – With a bad defense and an average offense, the Giants won’t have enough to get by the Niners. They need to admit they are in a rebuilding stage. San Francisco has their work cut out for them being third in the NFC West and 4th in line for the wild card spots in week 11, a position I’m sure none of them thought they would be in. They’ll get through this game as the more motivated and talented team.

Tampa Bay @ Washington – The Redskins will get past the Bucs with a superior running game and more to offer on defense. Tampa Bay once more needs to answer big questions at quarterback and really needs help with the pass rush to make defending the pass easier (they’re next to last in the league in passing defense).

Atlanta @ Carolina – It’s unlikely either of these teams will be able to turn around their once promising seasons with 6 loses a piece. The Atlanta offense (especially the running game) is starting to come on and should be the difference in Sunday’s matchup. ILB Luke Kuechley is a one-man force, but he can’t do it all himself.

Oakland @ San Diego – San Diego has the perfect matchup to snap their 3 game losing streak after starting the season a surprising 5-1. Yes, this is a 2013 playoff team, but they still have a lot of holes to fill on both sides of the ball and continue to have depth problems brought to light by recent injuires. QB Philip Rivers should reignite his week 2-6 streak of games with QB ratings over 120.

Philadelphia @ Green Bay – The Eagles’ running game has finally started to hit some strides and they’ll need it to keep the Packer magic between QB Aaron Rodgers and WR Jordy Nelson under wraps. But if they accomplish that, they still have the dynamic Randall Cobb to worry about. I think Dom Capers and the tough Packers’ D will expose Eagles QB Mark Sanchez for the backup he is and the Packers will cruise to an easy win.

Detroit @ Arizona – It was revealed this week in a great article in Sports Illustrated that head coach Bruce Arians brought in Drew Stanton to the program because he believed Stanton had starter attributes. He’s been with Arians since Indianapolis and knows his system the best. They won’t change their mode of attack with Carson Palmer out for the season, and going up against the best defense in the league, they’ll need to be as aggressive as ever in their gameplan. I think Patrick Peterson will redeem his disappointing (at least from the expectations on him) season and will shut down the great Calvin Johnson. I say they win at home in an OT game.

New England @ Indianapolis – Another great Sunday night matchup will unfortunately come out more lopsided than it should. I think Indy is going to win by two touchdowns. They are both coming off a bye but Andrew Luck is playing incredible ball lately and the Colts have one of the most underrated defensive secondary in the league. Their pass rush is also getting the job done as a group and making Robert Mathis’ absence much less evident.

Pittsburgh @ Tennessee – It continues again that the flexible Sunday night football games always far overshadow the Monday night matchups. With all the marketing prowess of the NFL, you’d think they would finally fix that. The Steelers dropped a baffling one last week against the lowly Jets. The Titans are in worse shape as they don’t have nearly the running game that the Jets have. That has made it much harder for the QB position where 3 guys have started at least 3 games due to injury and poor play. Pittsburgh gets back on track in a big way and blows the Titans away.

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NFL Week 10 Recap

November 11th 2014 23:03
NFL Week 10 Recap

Cleveland 24, Cincinnati 3 – Wow. The Browns held the Bengals to 165 total yards and Andy Dalton to an insanely embarrassing 2 in QB rating. They forced 4 turnovers and hammered away at the other end with efficient offense. The Browns are 6-3 and new head coach Mike Pettine is have a fantastic first season at the helm. They also batted down 13 of Andy Dalton’s passes and he tried all night to get the ball to WRs A.J. Green and Mohamed Sanu


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2014 NFL Mid-Season Awards

November 7th 2014 10:52
2014 NFL Mid-Season Awards

MVP: Andrew Luck, QB Indianapolis Colts
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NFL Week 10 Picks

November 6th 2014 10:50
NFL Week 10 Picks

#NFL


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NFL Week 9 Review

November 5th 2014 10:36
NFL Week 9 Review

New Orleans 28, Carolina 10 – The Saints played this one very smart and very conservative. They finally see the value of the running game and gave it to RB Mark Ingram 30 times (100 yards, 2 TDs). In fact the Saints with all their weapons and a Hall of Fame QB in Drew Brees ran a 50/50 split run/pass plays. Their defense shut down Cam Newton which resulted in a stunted offense and a 39.4 QB rating for Newton


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NFL Week 9 Picks

October 31st 2014 00:13
NFL Week 9 Picks

New Orleans @ Carolina – Desperation will breed mistakes and the least experienced team will make more. In this case that will be the Panthers. In the tradition of lopsided Thursday games, the Saints will dominate this game and win handily


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NFL Week Eight Wrap-Up

October 30th 2014 09:54
NFL Week Eight Wrap-Up

ChatNFL.com's #NFL game picks are 30-11


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NFL Week Eight Quick Picks

October 24th 2014 00:25
NFL Week Eight Quick Picks

San Diego @ Denver – Both Denver and San Diego have been among the highest scoring offenses in the league. The Denver defense is hitting their stride and the pass-rushing team of Von Miller and DeMarcus Ware have 15 sacks between them, that’s better than 14 teams in the league. That’ll make the difference and Denver wins again


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